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On Escalation

- Metaphors and Scenarios
Af: Herman Kahn Engelsk Paperback

On Escalation

- Metaphors and Scenarios
Af: Herman Kahn Engelsk Paperback
Tjek vores konkurrenters priser

In this widely discussed and influential book, Herman Kahn probes the dynamics of escalation and demonstrates how the intensification of conflict can be depicted by means of a definite escalation ladder, ascent of which brings opponents closer to all-out war. At each rung of the ladder, before the climb proceeds, decisions must be made based on numerous choices. Some are clear and obvious, others obscure, but the options are always there.

Thermonuclear annihilation, says Kahn, is unlikely to come through accident; but nations may elect to climb the ladder to extinction. The basic material for the book was developed in briefings delivered by Kahn to military and civilian experts and revised in the light of his findings of a trip to Vietnam in the 1960s. In On Escalation he states the facts squarely. He asks the reader to face unemotionally the terrors of a world fully capable of suicide and to consider carefully the alternatives to such a path.

In the never-never land of nuclear warfare, where nuclear incredulity is pervasive and paralyzing to the imagination even for the professional analyst, salient details of possible scenarios for the outbreak of war, and even more for war fighting, are largely unexplored or even unnoticed. For scenarios in which war is terminated, the issues and possibilities of which are almost completely unstudied, the situation is even worse. Kahn''s discussion throws light on the terrain and gives the individual a sense of the range of possibilities and complexities involved and are useful.

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In this widely discussed and influential book, Herman Kahn probes the dynamics of escalation and demonstrates how the intensification of conflict can be depicted by means of a definite escalation ladder, ascent of which brings opponents closer to all-out war. At each rung of the ladder, before the climb proceeds, decisions must be made based on numerous choices. Some are clear and obvious, others obscure, but the options are always there.

Thermonuclear annihilation, says Kahn, is unlikely to come through accident; but nations may elect to climb the ladder to extinction. The basic material for the book was developed in briefings delivered by Kahn to military and civilian experts and revised in the light of his findings of a trip to Vietnam in the 1960s. In On Escalation he states the facts squarely. He asks the reader to face unemotionally the terrors of a world fully capable of suicide and to consider carefully the alternatives to such a path.

In the never-never land of nuclear warfare, where nuclear incredulity is pervasive and paralyzing to the imagination even for the professional analyst, salient details of possible scenarios for the outbreak of war, and even more for war fighting, are largely unexplored or even unnoticed. For scenarios in which war is terminated, the issues and possibilities of which are almost completely unstudied, the situation is even worse. Kahn''s discussion throws light on the terrain and gives the individual a sense of the range of possibilities and complexities involved and are useful.

Produktdetaljer
Sprog: Engelsk
Sider: 336
ISBN-13: 9781412811620
Indbinding: Paperback
Udgave:
ISBN-10: 1412811627
Kategori: Atomvåben
Udg. Dato: 15 okt 2009
Længde: 25mm
Bredde: 228mm
Højde: 153mm
Forlag: Taylor & Francis Inc
Oplagsdato: 15 okt 2009
Forfatter(e): Herman Kahn
Forfatter(e) Herman Kahn


Kategori Atomvåben


ISBN-13 9781412811620


Sprog Engelsk


Indbinding Paperback


Sider 336


Udgave


Længde 25mm


Bredde 228mm


Højde 153mm


Udg. Dato 15 okt 2009


Oplagsdato 15 okt 2009


Forlag Taylor & Francis Inc

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